Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.012779 0.015714 0.019492 0.024855 0.032530 0.043564 0.061573
2024-10-06 0.009318 0.012514 0.017219 0.025115 0.039162 0.066032 0.132100
2024-10-13 0.007230 0.010178 0.014855 0.023527 0.041314 0.083378 0.233640
2024-10-20 0.006108 0.008920 0.013652 0.023185 0.045389 0.110211 0.476794
2024-10-27 0.005564 0.008426 0.013542 0.024801 0.055102 0.171084 1.650303
2024-11-03 0.005182 0.008109 0.013638 0.026884 0.068293 0.287864 17.691738
2024-11-10 0.004875 0.007855 0.013774 0.029143 0.085156 0.528601 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004444 0.007291 0.013124 0.029081 0.093733 0.807568 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004055 0.006746 0.012398 0.028522 0.099985 1.200261 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003610 0.006036 0.011175 0.026058 0.094252 1.300217 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003281 0.005523 0.010328 0.024532 0.092690 1.578727 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003068 0.005219 0.009919 0.024289 0.098864 2.554657 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002954 0.005131 0.010070 0.026246 0.125680 12.371926 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002766 0.004869 0.009755 0.026491 0.142395 92.423876 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002525 0.004462 0.009001 0.024779 0.138645 324.549117 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002364 0.004215 0.008620 0.024413 0.148853 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002295 0.004159 0.008733 0.026150 0.191116 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002242 0.004133 0.008925 0.028397 0.258347 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002193 0.004108 0.009116 0.030838 0.359641 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002086 0.003936 0.008841 0.030771 0.407197 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001976 0.003748 0.008494 0.030167 0.438930 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001832 0.003466 0.007821 0.027505 0.381975 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001720 0.003254 0.007346 0.025861 0.360718 NaN NaN